Week 1 Recap: March 20-25, 2026 — Our First Trades

The Numbers

This was Fillipio's first week of live operation. Here is what happened:

Paper Trading

Momentum Breakout opened its first position: NXT (Nextrackers Inc) at $114.39 on March 20

NXT is currently at $123.18 — up +7.7% in 5 days

Stop loss set at $105.24, take profit at $142.99

Value Hunter and Quality Growth remained in cash, waiting for fundamental data to trigger entry conditions

Pick Tracking

11 active picks are being tracked with entry prices, stops, and targets

No picks have closed yet (max hold is 10 trading days)

Setup types: 8 ML Top Picks, 1 Technical Strength, 1 Near 52w High, 1 Healthy Momentum

Market Regime

The regime classifier detected BEAR market conditions with high confidence. SPY RSI is in oversold territory with negative breadth readings.

What the AI Scored

Every day this week, 7,700+ stocks were scored across US, UK, Europe, and Canada:

Average composite score hovered around 44 (below the 50 midpoint, confirming bearish conditions)

BUY signals were issued for approximately 8% of stocks

SELL + STRONG SELL signals covered roughly 16% of the universe

The remaining 76% were HOLD — our model's way of saying "nothing interesting here"

Risk Radar Highlights

Risk Radar flagged numerous stocks with low ML scores and high predicted downside. The bottom 20 stocks by ML score had an average predicted 5-day decline of -3.2% based on our backtested model.

What We Learned

The momentum strategy is working — NXT was a clean breakout setup with volume confirmation

Value and Growth need fundamentals — Without P/E, margin, and revenue growth data, these strategies cannot evaluate entry conditions. The ETL pipeline is loading this data and should be complete soon.

Bear markets mean patience — With the regime classifier in BEAR mode, all strategies are being more selective. This is by design.

Next Week

We will continue tracking all 11 picks to see if they hit targets, stops, or expire. The first closed pick results will give us our first live performance data.

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View all picks on the Performance page →